Sai Kung 3-1 Hoi King — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

Sai Kung
3-1 HT 2-1
Hoi King
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division – 2023/2024

Sai Kung vs Hoi King Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
45%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.61
Over 2.5
47%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.39
No
52%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
45%
Away Win
36%
+8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
35%
+18.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
65%
-18.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
68%
-19.9pp
52%
BTTS No
32%
+19.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sai Kung v Hoi King — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sai Kung EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoi King EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.3

Sai Kung vs Hoi King Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sai Kung
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hoi King
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.12.2023 Hoi King Hoi King 1-1 HT 0-1 Sai Kung Sai Kung HK2
POST-MATCH Sai Kung vs Hoi King
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sai Kung saw off Hoi King 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hoi King at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Sai Kung vs Hoi King?

Sai Kung 3-1 Hoi King in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sai Kung vs Hoi King?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoi King win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sai Kung 32%, draw 23%, Hoi King 45%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hoi King) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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