Shatin SA 1-3 Yuen Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.63
Over 2.5
53%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.33
No
46%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
+9.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
44%
-9.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
34%
+13.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
66%
-13.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
71%
-17.6pp
46%
BTTS No
29%
+17.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 48%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.77/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.44
+66% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shatin SA
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Yuen Long
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Yuen Long Yuen Long 3-0 HT 1-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
29.01.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 3-1 HT 3-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
06.11.2022 Yuen Long Yuen Long 3-1 HT 2-1 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
24.10.2021 Yuen Long Yuen Long 1-2 HT 1-2 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
28.02.2015 Yuen Long Yuen Long 4-1 HT 2-1 Shatin SA Shatin SA HONFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shatin SA
1-3
AWAY Yuen Long
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Shatin SA vs Yuen Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yuen Long saw off Shatin SA 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Shatin SA at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Shatin SA had 48% of the ball to Yuen Long's 52%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Yuen Long led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Shatin SA and 2.40 for Yuen Long.

What was the final score of Shatin SA vs Yuen Long?

Shatin SA 1-3 Yuen Long in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shatin SA vs Yuen Long?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shatin SA win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shatin SA 42%, draw 25%, Yuen Long 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shatin SA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shatin SA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK2 More Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division
17 Mar 2024
08:30 3 Sing vs Eastern District Analysis →
08:30 Wing Yee vs Citizen AA Analysis →
10:00 Sai Kung vs Hoi King Analysis →
10:30 South China vs Kowloon City Analysis →
10:30 Wong Tai Sin vs Central & Western Analysis →