Citizen AA 1-2 Resources Capital FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
31%
4.34
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.7pp
31%
Draw
20%
+11.2pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Resources Capital FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
2.27/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.99
+1% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Citizen AA
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Resources Capital FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.09.2024 Resources Capital FC Resources Capital FC 0-3 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
POST-MATCH Citizen AA vs Resources Capital FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Resources Capital FC edged past Citizen AA 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Citizen AA at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Citizen AA vs Resources Capital FC?

Citizen AA 1-2 Resources Capital FC in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Citizen AA vs Resources Capital FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Citizen AA win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Citizen AA 52%, draw 31%, Resources Capital FC 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Citizen AA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Citizen AA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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