22/09/2024
·
12:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Resources Capital FC vs Citizen AA Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
29%
Draw
22%
40%
Away Win
43%
43%
Under 2.5
34%
57%
Over 2.5
66%
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
45%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Resources Capital FC v Citizen AA — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Resources Capital FC
EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY
Citizen AA
EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-6% /
-6%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+29%
/
-49%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
6
388 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
428 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Resources Capital FC vs Citizen AA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Citizen AA swept aside Resources Capital FC 3-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Citizen AA found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.
What was the final score of Resources Capital FC vs Citizen AA?
Resources Capital FC 0-3 Citizen AA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Resources Capital FC vs Citizen AA?
Before kick-off our model rated an Citizen AA win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Resources Capital FC 31%, draw 29%, Citizen AA 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Citizen AA), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Citizen AA)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HK2
More Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division
22 Sep 2024