Resources Capital FC 0-3 Citizen AA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.63
Over 2.5
57%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-2.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.4pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Resources Capital FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -49%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Resources Capital FC vs Citizen AA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Citizen AA swept aside Resources Capital FC 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Citizen AA found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Resources Capital FC vs Citizen AA?

Resources Capital FC 0-3 Citizen AA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Resources Capital FC vs Citizen AA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Citizen AA win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Resources Capital FC 31%, draw 29%, Citizen AA 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Citizen AA), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Citizen AA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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