22/09/2024
·
08:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
0-3
Wing Yee vs Sham Shui Po Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
41%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
19%
23%
Draw
20%
59%
Away Win
61%
45%
Under 2.5
31%
55%
Over 2.5
69%
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
49%
BTTS No
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wing Yee v Sham Shui Po — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Wing Yee
EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sham Shui Po
EU Bookmakers 66%
+22% /
+22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+28% /
+28%
1.20/1.97
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
4.00/1.00
+13%
/
+8%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+64%
/
+31%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
9
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
5
247 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
461 · 87%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.6
Yellow Cards
0.0
POST-MATCH
Wing Yee vs Sham Shui Po
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sham Shui Po got the better of Wing Yee 2-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sham Shui Po as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Wing Yee vs Sham Shui Po?
Wing Yee 0-2 Sham Shui Po in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wing Yee vs Sham Shui Po?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sham Shui Po win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Wing Yee 18%, draw 23%, Sham Shui Po 59%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sham Shui Po) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Sham Shui Po)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HK2
More Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division
22 Sep 2024