Hoi King vs Yuen Long Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hoi King v Yuen Long — Team-Based Signals
Hoi King vs Yuen Long Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Yuen Long
HK2
1-1
HT 1-1
Hoi King
HK2
0-5
HT 0-2
Yuen Long
HK2
Hoi King 2-1 Yuen Long — Actual Match Statistics
Hoi King squeezed past Yuen Long 2-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Yuen Long at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Hoi King had 49% of the ball to Yuen Long's 51%, shots finished 15-11.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Yuen Long led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hoi King and 2.50 for Yuen Long.
What was the final score of Hoi King vs Yuen Long?
Hoi King 2-1 Yuen Long in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hoi King vs Yuen Long?
Before kick-off our model rated an Yuen Long win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Hoi King 19%, draw 24%, Yuen Long 57%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yuen Long) went the other way.