Yuen Long 2-1 Hoi King — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.89
Over 2.5
63%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-9.9pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.8pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
31%
+6.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
69%
-6.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoi King EU Bookmakers 21%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
4.64/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.47
+131% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yuen Long
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Hoi King
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Hoi King Hoi King 0-2 HT 0-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
02.04.2023 Yuen Long Yuen Long 1-1 HT 1-1 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
14.11.2021 Hoi King Hoi King 0-5 HT 0-2 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
POST-MATCH Yuen Long vs Hoi King
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yuen Long edged past Hoi King 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yuen Long as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Yuen Long had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Yuen Long and 0.33 for Hoi King.

What was the final score of Yuen Long vs Hoi King?

Yuen Long 2-1 Hoi King in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yuen Long vs Hoi King?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yuen Long win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Yuen Long 54%, draw 25%, Hoi King 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yuen Long), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yuen Long) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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