Shatin SA 2-1 Wong Tai Sin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
25%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-15.1pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.0pp
25%
Away Win
13%
+12.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Wong Tai Sin EU Bookmakers 16%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
3.37/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/3.19
+13% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
467 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shatin SA
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Wong Tai Sin
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
05.11.2023 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin 1-5 HT 0-4 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
15.01.2023 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin 0-1 HT 0-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
19.12.2021 Shatin SA Shatin SA 5-2 HT 2-1 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin HK2
POST-MATCH Shatin SA vs Wong Tai Sin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shatin SA edged past Wong Tai Sin 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shatin SA as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shatin SA had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Shatin SA and 1.00 for Wong Tai Sin.

What was the final score of Shatin SA vs Wong Tai Sin?

Shatin SA 2-1 Wong Tai Sin in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shatin SA vs Wong Tai Sin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shatin SA win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Shatin SA 55%, draw 20%, Wong Tai Sin 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shatin SA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shatin SA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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