Kowloon City 5-2 Eastern District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.98
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.7
No
38%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-14.5pp
22%
Draw
15%
+7.7pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
55%
+7.3pp
38%
BTTS No
45%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kowloon City EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern District EU Bookmakers 14%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.60/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/3.20
-15% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -7%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kowloon City
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Eastern District
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
76% Ball Possession 24%
16 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
05.11.2023 Eastern District Eastern District 0-1 HT 0-1 Kowloon City Kowloon City HK2
05.03.2023 Kowloon City Kowloon City 2-0 HT 1-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
11.12.2022 Eastern District Eastern District 2-3 Kowloon City Kowloon City HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kowloon City
5-2
AWAY Eastern District
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kowloon City vs Eastern District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kowloon City swept aside Eastern District 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kowloon City as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kowloon City had 58% of the ball to Eastern District's 42%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kowloon City had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kowloon City and 0.67 for Eastern District.

What was the final score of Kowloon City vs Eastern District?

Kowloon City 5-2 Eastern District in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kowloon City vs Eastern District?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kowloon City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kowloon City 60%, draw 22%, Eastern District 18%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kowloon City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kowloon City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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