Bursaspor 5-1 Somaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
82%
1.11
Draw
13%
8.11
Away
5%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
2%
X/X
4%
2/1
10%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
82%
Home Win
85%
-3.5pp
13%
Draw
9%
+4.2pp
5%
Away Win
6%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bursaspor EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Somaspor EU Bookmakers 8%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
3.53/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.15
+38% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +11%
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
464 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bursaspor
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Somaspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.12.2025 Somaspor Somaspor 0-3 HT 0-1 Bursaspor Bursaspor T2L-K
11.12.2022 Somaspor Somaspor 3-1 HT 1-0 Bursaspor Bursaspor S2-B
POST-MATCH Bursaspor vs Somaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bursaspor swept aside Somaspor 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bursaspor as the likeliest winner at 82%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bursaspor and 1.50 for Somaspor.

What was the final score of Bursaspor vs Somaspor?

Bursaspor 5-1 Somaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bursaspor vs Somaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bursaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split Bursaspor 82%, draw 13%, Somaspor 5%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bursaspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bursaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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