Crawley Town 2-0 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 27% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.34
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
10%
12.3
X/1
15%
5.33
X/2
11%
6.18
X/X
9%
4.6
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
15%
4.12
2/X
10%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Crawley Town win — 39%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.47/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.10
+16% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
257 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 68%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
19.3 Crosses 19.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.96 xG 1.85
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
301 Passes 292
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
21.10.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-4 HT 2-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
11.02.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
17.09.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
11.02.2020 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-1 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
20.08.2019 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
2-0
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.16 xG 0.32
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
368 Passes 161
81% Pass Accuracy 62%
25 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Crewe Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crawley Town saw off Crewe Alexandra 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Crawley Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Crawley Town had 63% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 37%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.16 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Crawley Town and 2.00 for Crewe Alexandra.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Crewe Alexandra?

Crawley Town 2-0 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Crewe Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crawley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 39%, draw 29%, Crewe Alexandra 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crawley Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Crawley Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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