Crewe Alexandra 1-0 Crawley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.94
6+ Goals
13%
8.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.65
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
12%
4.64
X/2
14%
7.1
X/X
13%
5.39
2/1
6%
22.05
2/2
13%
4.76
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.19/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.50
+39% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 72%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.8 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Crawley Town
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.04 xG 1.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
301 Passes 317
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-4 HT 2-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
11.02.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
17.09.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
11.02.2020 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-1 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
20.08.2019 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
16.03.2019 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 6-1 HT 4-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
1-0
AWAY Crawley Town
0.90 xG 0.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
246 Passes 222
70% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Crawley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra squeezed past Crawley Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Crewe Alexandra made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 52% of the ball to Crawley Town's 48%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.90 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 1.17 for Crawley Town.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Crawley Town?

Crewe Alexandra 1-0 Crawley Town in the England - 2nd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Crawley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 38%, draw 28%, Crawley Town 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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