AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Barrow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.97
6+ Goals
13%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.2
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
15%
4.74
X/2
13%
6.09
X/X
9%
4.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
28.0
2/2
17%
4.54
2/X
5%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.0pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Barrow EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +18%
1.32/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.20
-12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 72%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.7 Crosses 19.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Wimbledon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Barrow
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.96 xG 0.89
50% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
295 Passes 288
68% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Barrow Barrow 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
25.03.2023 Barrow Barrow 2-1 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
27.08.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0-1 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
26.11.2020 Barrow Barrow 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon FAK
02.04.2011 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-0 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İBSL
13.11.2010 Barrow Barrow 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Wimbledon
2-0
AWAY Barrow
0.75 xG 0.62
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
196 Passes 295
63% Pass Accuracy 71%
11 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Wimbledon vs Barrow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Wimbledon saw off Barrow 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day AFC Wimbledon made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, AFC Wimbledon had 43% of the ball to Barrow's 57%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.75 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barrow led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AFC Wimbledon and 0.83 for Barrow.

What was the final score of AFC Wimbledon vs Barrow?

AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Barrow in the England - 2nd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Wimbledon vs Barrow?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 41%, draw 23%, Barrow 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
10 Feb 2024
18:00 Wrexham vs Bradford City Analysis →
18:00 Walsall vs Newport County Analysis →
18:00 Crewe Alexandra vs Crawley Town Analysis →
18:00 Harrogate Town vs Colchester Analysis →
18:00 Morecambe vs Sutton United Analysis →
18:00 Doncaster Rovers vs Tranmere Rovers Analysis →