Morecambe 1-0 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.34
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
15%
4.97
X/2
10%
5.75
X/X
12%
4.53
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
15%
4.09
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morecambe EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
1.69/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.97
-7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
233 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 71%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
21.4 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morecambe
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sutton United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.76 xG 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
155 Passes 191
59% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 Sutton United Sutton United 2-3 HT 1-2 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morecambe
1-0
AWAY Sutton United
1.98 xG 0.94
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
192 Passes 295
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Morecambe vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morecambe edged past Sutton United 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Morecambe as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Morecambe had 43% of the ball to Sutton United's 57%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.98 to 0.94.

What was the final score of Morecambe vs Sutton United?

Morecambe 1-0 Sutton United in the England - 2nd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morecambe vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Morecambe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Morecambe 43%, draw 26%, Sutton United 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Morecambe), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Morecambe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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