Wrexham 0-1 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 30% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.7
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
22%
4.44
X/2
9%
7.14
X/X
11%
4.64
2/1
10%
24.6
2/2
13%
5.26
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
0.88/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.33
+150% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 61%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
25.0 Crosses 16.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Bradford City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
290 Passes 330
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
29.08.2023 Wrexham Wrexham 1-1 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İNLK
26.01.2008 Wrexham Wrexham 1-1 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
25.08.2007 Bradford City Bradford City 2-1 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
26.12.2004 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
11.09.2004 Wrexham Wrexham 1-0 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
0-1
AWAY Bradford City
1.06 xG 1.64
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 3
346 Passes 164
77% Pass Accuracy 59%
32 Box Touches 12
39 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City edged past Wrexham 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Wrexham at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wrexham had 63% of the ball to Bradford City's 37%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.06 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wrexham and 1.00 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Bradford City?

Wrexham 0-1 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 47%, draw 25%, Bradford City 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Wrexham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wrexham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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