Walsall 0-3 Newport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 10 Feb 2024

Walsall
0-3 HT 0-3
Newport County
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Walsall vs Newport County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 30% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.62
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
16%
4.22
X/2
10%
7.47
X/X
12%
4.41
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
10%
5.82
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Walsall v Newport County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport County EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +10%
1.46/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.18
-19% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
250 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.7 Crosses 17.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Walsall vs Newport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Newport County
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.80 xG 1.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
255 Passes 200
68% Pass Accuracy 63%
18 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Newport County Newport County 3-3 HT 2-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
18.02.2023 Walsall Walsall 1-1 HT 1-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
06.08.2022 Newport County Newport County 0-1 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
01.01.2022 Walsall Walsall 3-3 HT 0-1 Newport County Newport County İN2
18.09.2021 Newport County Newport County 2-1 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
24.02.2021 Walsall Walsall 0-1 HT 0-0 Newport County Newport County İN2

Walsall 0-3 Newport County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
0-3
AWAY Newport County
0.93 xG 0.85
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 0
294 Passes 152
72% Pass Accuracy 56%
21 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Newport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport County swept aside Walsall 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Walsall at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Walsall had 61% of the ball to Newport County's 39%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.93 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newport County led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Walsall and 1.67 for Newport County.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Newport County?

Walsall 0-3 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Newport County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Walsall 45%, draw 27%, Newport County 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Walsall), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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