Lunds BK 1-0 Tvaaker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.9pp
18%
Draw
25%
-7.0pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lunds BK EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Tvaaker EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +21%
2.12/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.16
+24% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lunds BK
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tvaaker
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Tvaaker Tvaaker 2-1 HT 0-1 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
01.04.2023 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-0 HT 0-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
13.08.2022 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-0 HT 0-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
02.04.2022 Tvaaker Tvaaker 4-0 HT 0-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
29.05.2021 Lunds BK Lunds BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
07.10.2020 Tvaaker Tvaaker 3-0 HT 2-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lunds BK
1-0
AWAY Tvaaker
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lunds BK vs Tvaaker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lunds BK nicked a narrow win over Tvaaker 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lunds BK as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lunds BK had 57% of the ball to Tvaaker's 43%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tvaaker led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lunds BK and 1.50 for Tvaaker.

What was the final score of Lunds BK vs Tvaaker?

Lunds BK 1-0 Tvaaker in the Sweden - 1st Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lunds BK vs Tvaaker?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lunds BK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lunds BK 51%, draw 18%, Tvaaker 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lunds BK), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lunds BK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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