Umea FC 3-1 Karlbergs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.02/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.01
-8% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +80%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
422 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umea FC
3-1
AWAY Karlbergs BK
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Umea FC vs Karlbergs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC saw off Karlbergs BK 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Umea FC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Umea FC had 54% of the ball to Karlbergs BK's 46%, shots finished 20-6.

What was the final score of Umea FC vs Karlbergs BK?

Umea FC 3-1 Karlbergs BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC vs Karlbergs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Umea FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 55%, draw 21%, Karlbergs BK 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umea FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Umea FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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