Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-3 Maccabi Netanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
52%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.48
6+ Goals
8%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 31% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
52%
Away Win
54%
-2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.9pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Netanya EU Bookmakers 58%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.97/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.04
-18% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.9 Crosses 22.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Maccabi Netanya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.15 xG 1.70
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
195 Passes 419
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 2-0 HT 2-0 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya İSR
17.09.2023 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya 4-1 HT 2-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva
1-3
AWAY Maccabi Netanya
1.61 xG 1.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
339 Passes 363
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Netanya got the better of Hapoel Petah Tikva 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maccabi Netanya as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hapoel Petah Tikva had 49% of the ball to Maccabi Netanya's 51%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.61 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hapoel Petah Tikva and 2.00 for Maccabi Netanya.

What was the final score of Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya?

Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-3 Maccabi Netanya in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maccabi Netanya win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Petah Tikva 24%, draw 25%, Maccabi Netanya 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Netanya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Netanya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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