Hapoel Petah Tikva 2-0 Maccabi Netanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.93
2-3 Goals
49%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
16.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Netanya EU Bookmakers 53%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.71/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.94
-46% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +84%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 80%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
22.3 Crosses 13.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Maccabi Netanya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.20 xG 2.41
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
163 Passes 430
65% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2023 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya 4-1 HT 2-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Petah Tikva
2-0
AWAY Maccabi Netanya
1.10 xG 0.98
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 9
227 Passes 408
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Petah Tikva saw off Maccabi Netanya 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Maccabi Netanya at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hapoel Petah Tikva had 39% of the ball to Maccabi Netanya's 61%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.10 to 0.98.

What was the final score of Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya?

Hapoel Petah Tikva 2-0 Maccabi Netanya in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maccabi Netanya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Petah Tikva 26%, draw 28%, Maccabi Netanya 46%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maccabi Netanya), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Netanya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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