Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-4 Hapoel Beer Sheva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
15.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
27%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva EU Bookmakers 51%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.71/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/1.17
+62% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -49%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
6.0 Crosses 21.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.28 xG 2.11
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 23
0 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 17
182 Passes 411
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 53
11 Crosses 41
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.09.2023 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv
0-4
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.26 xG 2.11
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 10
269 Passes 529
77% Pass Accuracy 90%
8 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Beer Sheva swept aside Hapoel Tel Aviv 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hapoel Beer Sheva as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hapoel Tel Aviv had 37% of the ball to Hapoel Beer Sheva's 63%, shots finished 3-19, expected goals 0.26 to 2.11.

What was the final score of Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-4 Hapoel Beer Sheva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hapoel Beer Sheva win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Tel Aviv 23%, draw 30%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 47%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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