Ashdod 0-1 Hapoel Haifa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.95
6+ Goals
7%
18.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 30% vs market 29.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashdod EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Haifa EU Bookmakers 45%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.21/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.18
+42% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
15.0 Crosses 16.8
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashdod
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Haifa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.09 xG 1.13
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 0
384 Passes 336
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 2-0 HT 0-0 Ashdod Ashdod İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashdod
0-1
AWAY Hapoel Haifa
0.16 xG 0.69
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
409 Passes 218
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ashdod vs Hapoel Haifa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Haifa squeezed past Ashdod 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hapoel Haifa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ashdod had 63% of the ball to Hapoel Haifa's 37%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.16 to 0.69.

What was the final score of Ashdod vs Hapoel Haifa?

Ashdod 0-1 Hapoel Haifa in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashdod vs Hapoel Haifa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hapoel Haifa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ashdod 28%, draw 26%, Hapoel Haifa 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Haifa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hapoel Haifa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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