Hapoel Eran Hadera 0-3 Beitar Jerusalem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Hapoel Eran Hadera win — 40%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
27%
+13.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
48%
-15.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 52%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -59% / -59%
1.88/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/0.47
+71% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
240 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 77%
12.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
13.7 Crosses 21.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.49 xG 1.30
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
276 Passes 425
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2023 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem 2-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera
0-3
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem
0.65 xG 3.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
334 Passes 361
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Beitar Jerusalem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beitar Jerusalem swept aside Hapoel Eran Hadera 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Beitar Jerusalem found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hapoel Eran Hadera had 49% of the ball to Beitar Jerusalem's 51%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.65 to 3.33.

What was the final score of Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Hapoel Eran Hadera 0-3 Beitar Jerusalem in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Eran Hadera win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Eran Hadera 40%, draw 27%, Beitar Jerusalem 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hapoel Eran Hadera), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Eran Hadera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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