Guabira 1-1 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.6pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.6pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.53/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.15
+29% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
15.3 Crosses 15.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aurora
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.67 xG 1.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
265 Passes 244
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.10.2023 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
23.04.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
12.09.2022 Guabira Guabira 1-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
18.04.2022 Guabira Guabira 3-2 HT 2-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
06.02.2022 Aurora Aurora 0-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
13.09.2021 Guabira Guabira 4-0 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
1-1
AWAY Aurora
2.23 xG 0.94
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
250 Passes 183
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira and Aurora shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Guabira at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Guabira had 57% of the ball to Aurora's 43%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 2.23 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guabira had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guabira and 0.67 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Aurora?

Guabira 1-1 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Guabira 42%, draw 32%, Aurora 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guabira), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guabira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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