Oriente Petrolero 2-1 Universitario de Vinto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
26%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.46/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.03
-4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +100%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
21.4 Crosses 15.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oriente Petrolero
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.10
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
248 Passes 231
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
18.07.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
11.02.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-1 HT 0-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oriente Petrolero
2-1
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.53 xG 0.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
315 Passes 238
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 6
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oriente Petrolero edged past Universitario de Vinto 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Oriente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oriente Petrolero had 55% of the ball to Universitario de Vinto's 45%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.53 to 0.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Oriente Petrolero's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Oriente Petrolero and 1.00 for Universitario de Vinto.

What was the final score of Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?

Oriente Petrolero 2-1 Universitario de Vinto in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oriente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Oriente Petrolero 51%, draw 30%, Universitario de Vinto 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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