Nacional Potosi 1-0 Santa Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 19 May 2024

Nacional Potosi
1-0 HT 1-0
Santa Cruz
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Nacional Potosi vs Santa Cruz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.18
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
80%
-20.7pp
20%
Draw
13%
+6.9pp
20%
Away Win
7%
+13.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nacional Potosi v Santa Cruz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +5%
2.32/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.85
+36% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +5%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
369 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 72%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
26.8 Crosses 9.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Nacional Potosi vs Santa Cruz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Santa Cruz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.69 xG 0.91
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
399 Passes 132
85% Pass Accuracy 64%
21 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
19.11.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 6-0 HT 2-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
19.05.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
08.10.2022 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
24.04.2022 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 3-2 HT 1-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
19.02.2022 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
01.12.2021 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ

Nacional Potosi 1-0 Santa Cruz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
1-0
AWAY Santa Cruz
1.11 xG 0.70
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 6
404 Passes 167
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Santa Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi squeezed past Santa Cruz 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional Potosi as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 65% of the ball to Santa Cruz's 35%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.11 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Cruz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nacional Potosi and 1.33 for Santa Cruz.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Santa Cruz?

Nacional Potosi 1-0 Santa Cruz in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Santa Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 60%, draw 20%, Santa Cruz 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Potosi), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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