Cherno More Varna 4-0 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
1.52/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+48% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cherno More Varna
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.02.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 HT 3-1 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
20.08.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-0 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
07.06.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 0-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
11.05.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-2 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BULK
25.04.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-2 HT 1-2 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cherno More Varna
4-0
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna cruised past Ludogorets Razgrad 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Cherno More Varna found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cherno More Varna had 51% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 49%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cherno More Varna and 1.40 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Cherno More Varna 4-0 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 34%, draw 31%, Ludogorets Razgrad 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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