Thisted 1-0 Hellerup IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
4.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.04
6+ Goals
8%
9.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 30% vs market 19.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.3pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thisted EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellerup IK EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +20%
0.89/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.91
-36% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +48%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thisted
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Hellerup IK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-0 HT 1-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
21.10.2023 Thisted Thisted 0-1 HT 0-1 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
16.09.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-3 HT 2-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
22.10.2022 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-1 HT 2-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
02.10.2022 Thisted Thisted 3-0 HT 1-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
30.10.2021 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 0-1 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thisted
1-0
AWAY Hellerup IK
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Thisted vs Hellerup IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thisted edged past Hellerup IK 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Thisted made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Thisted had 30% of the ball to Hellerup IK's 70%, shots finished 4-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Thisted and 1.00 for Hellerup IK.

What was the final score of Thisted vs Hellerup IK?

Thisted 1-0 Hellerup IK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thisted vs Hellerup IK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hellerup IK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Thisted 35%, draw 25%, Hellerup IK 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hellerup IK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hellerup IK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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