Hellerup IK 1-0 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.9
6+ Goals
13%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellerup IK EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 31%
+14% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
2.19/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.34
+32% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellerup IK
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Thisted
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Thisted Thisted 0-1 HT 0-1 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
16.09.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-3 HT 2-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
22.10.2022 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-1 HT 2-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
02.10.2022 Thisted Thisted 3-0 HT 1-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
30.10.2021 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 0-1 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
12.09.2021 Thisted Thisted 3-1 HT 1-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellerup IK
1-0
AWAY Thisted
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hellerup IK vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hellerup IK nicked a narrow win over Thisted 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hellerup IK as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hellerup IK had 50% of the ball to Thisted's 50%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thisted led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hellerup IK and 1.83 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Hellerup IK vs Thisted?

Hellerup IK 1-0 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellerup IK vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hellerup IK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hellerup IK 41%, draw 24%, Thisted 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hellerup IK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hellerup IK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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