Aarhus Fremad 5-0 Nykobing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.2pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.8pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Nykobing EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.28/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/3.62
+2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -40%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Nykobing
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 5-0 HT 1-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
16.09.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 0-1 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarhus Fremad
5-0
AWAY Nykobing
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 9
14 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs Nykobing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad cruised past Nykobing 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aarhus Fremad as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Aarhus Fremad had 61% of the ball to Nykobing's 39%, shots finished 23-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Aarhus Fremad and 0.00 for Nykobing.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs Nykobing?

Aarhus Fremad 5-0 Nykobing in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs Nykobing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 57%, draw 22%, Nykobing 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarhus Fremad), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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