Aarhus Fremad 5-0 Nykobing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
7.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Nykobing EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.94/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/2.29
+5% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nykobing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.09.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 0-1 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarhus Fremad
5-0
AWAY Nykobing
65% Ball Possession 35%
23 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs Nykobing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad swept aside Nykobing 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aarhus Fremad as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aarhus Fremad had 65% of the ball to Nykobing's 35%, shots finished 23-5.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs Nykobing?

Aarhus Fremad 5-0 Nykobing in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs Nykobing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 49%, draw 23%, Nykobing 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarhus Fremad), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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