Akademisk BK 1-3 Middelfart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

Akademisk BK
1-3 HT 0-3
Middelfart
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Akademisk BK vs Middelfart Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 30% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Akademisk BK v Middelfart — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Middelfart EU Bookmakers 54%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
1.15/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.37
-10% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
270 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Akademisk BK vs Middelfart Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akademisk BK
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Middelfart
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 1-0 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
17.10.2021 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-2 HT 1-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
21.08.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 1-1 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
03.11.2019 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-3 HT 1-3 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
POST-MATCH Akademisk BK vs Middelfart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart saw off Akademisk BK 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Middelfart as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Middelfart led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Akademisk BK and 1.75 for Middelfart.

What was the final score of Akademisk BK vs Middelfart?

Akademisk BK 1-3 Middelfart in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akademisk BK vs Middelfart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Akademisk BK 28%, draw 29%, Middelfart 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middelfart) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Middelfart) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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