Thisted 3-3 Fremad Amager — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
52%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
16.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.79 — our 25% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
35%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
26%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
52%
Away Win
48%
+3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thisted EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 52%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.02/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.73
-21% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -57%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
228 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thisted
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fremad Amager
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2023 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 2-1 HT 1-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thisted
3-3
AWAY Fremad Amager
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Thisted vs Fremad Amager
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thisted and Fremad Amager shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fremad Amager at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Thisted had 48% of the ball to Fremad Amager's 52%, shots finished 11-15.

What was the final score of Thisted vs Fremad Amager?

Thisted 3-3 Fremad Amager in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thisted vs Fremad Amager?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fremad Amager win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Thisted 22%, draw 26%, Fremad Amager 52%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fremad Amager) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fremad Amager) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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