Hellerup IK 4-3 Brabrand — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.67
2-3 Goals
47%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.29
6+ Goals
8%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellerup IK EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Brabrand EU Bookmakers 26%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.89/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.62
+14% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellerup IK
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Brabrand
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2023 Brabrand Brabrand 1-2 HT 0-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
20.05.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 3-1 HT 2-1 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
29.04.2023 Brabrand Brabrand 1-0 HT 0-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
25.03.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 0-2 HT 0-1 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
27.08.2022 Brabrand Brabrand 2-0 HT 2-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
12.03.2022 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 0-3 HT 0-0 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellerup IK
4-3
AWAY Brabrand
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hellerup IK vs Brabrand
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hellerup IK edged past Brabrand 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hellerup IK as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hellerup IK had 51% of the ball to Brabrand's 49%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brabrand led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hellerup IK and 1.67 for Brabrand.

What was the final score of Hellerup IK vs Brabrand?

Hellerup IK 4-3 Brabrand in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellerup IK vs Brabrand?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hellerup IK win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hellerup IK 50%, draw 23%, Brabrand 27%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hellerup IK), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hellerup IK) ✓ BTTS Yes
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