Gnistan 0-0 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 31% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.17
1/2
7%
24.45
1/X
8%
16.05
X/1
8%
8.92
X/2
10%
3.88
X/X
11%
4.93
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
34%
2.27
2/X
6%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
51%
Away Win
54%
-2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
20.03.2021 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 5-0 HT 3-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
0-0
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.29 xG 0.80
33% Ball Possession 67%
17 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
178 Passes 445
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gnistan and KuPS Kuopio fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was KuPS Kuopio at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gnistan had 33% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 67%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.29 to 0.80.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio?

Gnistan 0-0 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 23%, draw 25%, KuPS Kuopio 51%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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