EIF 1-1 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 19 May 2024

EIF
1-1 HT 1-0
FC Lahti
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.85
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
19.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 31% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.57
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
15%
6.12
X/2
15%
4.84
X/X
11%
4.21
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.28
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EIF EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EIF
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Lahti
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.02.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-1 HT 0-1 EIF EIF FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EIF
1-1
AWAY FC Lahti
1.23 xG 0.48
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
288 Passes 374
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH EIF vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EIF and FC Lahti couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, EIF had 45% of the ball to FC Lahti's 55%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 1.23 to 0.48.

What was the final score of EIF vs FC Lahti?

EIF 1-1 FC Lahti in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EIF vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated a EIF win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split EIF 37%, draw 26%, FC Lahti 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (EIF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (EIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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