Suwon City 1-0 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.26
6+ Goals
12%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.72
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.78
X/2
11%
5.62
X/X
11%
4.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
28.0
2/2
18%
3.58
2/X
7%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +6%
1.35/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.23
+26% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 82%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
16.6 Crosses 20.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.82 xG 0.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
341 Passes 460
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
16.09.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-0 HT 2-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
02.07.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 3-1 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
04.03.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-2 HT 0-2 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
06.09.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 1-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
21.06.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 2-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
1-0
AWAY Pohang Steelers
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 11
306 Passes 503
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City edged past Pohang Steelers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Suwon City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Suwon City had 34% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 66%, shots finished 9-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Suwon City and 1.50 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Pohang Steelers?

Suwon City 1-0 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 38%, draw 25%, Pohang Steelers 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon City) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suwon City) ✗ Over 2.5
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