Yuen Long 3-4 Sai Kung — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
4.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
66%
-18.9pp
25%
Draw
17%
+8.2pp
28%
Away Win
17%
+10.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
22%
+23.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
78%
-23.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.9pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sai Kung EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
3.51/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+69% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
449 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yuen Long
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sai Kung
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
10.12.2023 Sai Kung Sai Kung 0-3 HT 0-2 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yuen Long
3-4
AWAY Sai Kung
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yuen Long vs Sai Kung
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sai Kung nicked a narrow win over Yuen Long 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Yuen Long at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Yuen Long had 63% of the ball to Sai Kung's 37%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Yuen Long vs Sai Kung?

Yuen Long 3-4 Sai Kung in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yuen Long vs Sai Kung?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yuen Long win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Yuen Long 47%, draw 25%, Sai Kung 28%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yuen Long) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yuen Long) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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