Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 Parceiro Nagano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.8pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.7pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.31/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.34
-68% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.03.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija (K)
0-1
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano (K) nicked a narrow win over Omiya Ardija (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Omiya Ardija (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Omiya Ardija (K) had 63% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano (K)'s 37%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Omiya Ardija (K) 0-1 Parceiro Nagano (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija (K) 42%, draw 22%, Parceiro Nagano (K) 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Omiya Ardija (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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