La Equidad vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
La Equidad v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
La Equidad vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
La Equidad
KOL
1-1
HT 0-1
La Equidad
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
La Equidad
KOL
La Equidad 2-3 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima nicked a narrow win over La Equidad 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Deportes Tolima made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, La Equidad had 33% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 67%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.29 to 1.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Deportes Tolima's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for La Equidad and 0.67 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of La Equidad vs Deportes Tolima?
La Equidad 2-3 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 39%, draw 28%, Deportes Tolima 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.