La Equidad 1-1 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
0.98/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.12
-6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
17.5 Crosses 12.3
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.81 xG 0.72
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
248 Passes 305
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
15.03.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
22.08.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
10.06.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
06.06.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
21.02.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
1-1
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.75 xG 0.46
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
312 Passes 195
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Equidad and Deportes Tolima shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, La Equidad had 59% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 41%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 1.75 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for La Equidad and 0.50 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Deportes Tolima?

La Equidad 1-1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 37%, draw 28%, Deportes Tolima 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (La Equidad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Equidad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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