Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.01/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.01
-1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
16.2 Crosses 13.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Once Caldas
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.67 xG 1.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
312 Passes 319
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
04.03.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
24.09.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
05.04.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
05.09.2021 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
16.03.2021 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 1-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1-1
AWAY Once Caldas
0.71 xG 0.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
301 Passes 273
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga and Once Caldas shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 52% of the ball to Once Caldas's 48%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.71 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 0.67 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas?

Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 37%, draw 29%, Once Caldas 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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