JFK Ventspils 2-0 Ogre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 19 May 2024

JFK Ventspils
2-0 HT 1-0
Ogre United
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

JFK Ventspils vs Ogre United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

JFK Ventspils v Ogre United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Ogre United EU Bookmakers 24%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-51% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH JFK Ventspils vs Ogre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JFK Ventspils saw off Ogre United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had JFK Ventspils as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs Ogre United?

JFK Ventspils 2-0 Ogre United in the Latvia - 1st Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs Ogre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a JFK Ventspils win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 45%, draw 23%, Ogre United 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JFK Ventspils), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JFK Ventspils) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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