19/05/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Leevon / PPK vs Skanste Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
20%
Draw
24%
21%
Away Win
20%
52%
Under 2.5
46%
48%
Over 2.5
54%
33%
BTTS Yes
53%
67%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leevon / PPK v Skanste — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Leevon / PPK
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Skanste
EU Bookmakers 23%
+22% /
+22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+18% /
+18%
4.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.27/1.15
+91%
/
-46%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-1%
/
+76%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
5
314 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
292 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Leevon / PPK vs Skanste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Leevon / PPK got the better of Skanste 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leevon / PPK as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.
What was the final score of Leevon / PPK vs Skanste?
Leevon / PPK 2-0 Skanste in the Latvia - 1st Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leevon / PPK vs Skanste?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Leevon / PPK 59%, draw 20%, Skanste 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leevon / PPK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Leevon / PPK)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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More Latvia - 1st Division
19 May 2024