Ekranas 3-1 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 19 May 2024

Ekranas
3-1 HT 1-0
Hegelmann II
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Ekranas vs Hegelmann II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.51
Over 2.5
64%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.7pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.4pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ekranas v Hegelmann II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekranas EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 26%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.23/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.34
-26% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Ekranas vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekranas got the better of Hegelmann II 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ekranas as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Ekranas vs Hegelmann II?

Ekranas 3-1 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekranas vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ekranas win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ekranas 49%, draw 20%, Hegelmann II 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ekranas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ekranas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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