Kecskemeti TE 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.6pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.0pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.68/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.39
+6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
426 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.8 Crosses 15.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kecskemeti TE
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 1.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
389 Passes 234
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 HT 2-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
28.10.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 3-1 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
15.04.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 3-0 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
12.11.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
27.08.2022 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 3-1 HT 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kecskemeti TE
2-1
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
2.39 xG 0.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
348 Passes 246
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kecskemeti TE vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kecskemeti TE nicked a narrow win over Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kecskemeti TE as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kecskemeti TE had 57% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 43%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.39 to 0.60 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kecskemeti TE's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kecskemeti TE had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kecskemeti TE and 1.00 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of Kecskemeti TE vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Kecskemeti TE 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kecskemeti TE vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kecskemeti TE win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kecskemeti TE 42%, draw 29%, Zalaegerszegi TE 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kecskemeti TE), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kecskemeti TE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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