Ferencvaros 2-0 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.27
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
74%
-9.8pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.6pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 12%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
2.42/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.98
+5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
444 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 72%
41.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
29.7 Crosses 11.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Ujpest
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.06 xG 0.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
414 Passes 249
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 0-5 HT 0-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
29.10.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
01.05.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 2-3 HT 1-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
05.02.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-1 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
04.09.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 0-6 HT 0-4 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
24.04.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-1 HT 2-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
2-0
AWAY Ujpest
3.81 xG 0.11
71% Ball Possession 29%
26 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 1
534 Passes 181
91% Pass Accuracy 74%
49 Box Touches 5
25 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros saw off Ujpest 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 71% of the ball to Ujpest's 29%, shots finished 26-4, expected goals 3.81 to 0.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Ferencvaros and 0.67 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Ujpest?

Ferencvaros 2-0 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 65%, draw 20%, Ujpest 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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