Ujpest 0-5 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 25 Feb 2024

Ujpest
0-5 HT 0-2
Ferencvaros
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Ujpest vs Ferencvaros Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.34
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.33
Over 2.5
62%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
31%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
7.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+10.4pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-12.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
39%
-0.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
61%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ujpest v Ferencvaros — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 69%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.51/3.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.00
-49% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -6%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
208 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
– Crosses 18.6
4.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Ujpest vs Ferencvaros Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.42 xG 2.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
248 Passes 460
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
01.05.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 2-3 HT 1-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
05.02.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-1 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
04.09.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 0-6 HT 0-4 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
24.04.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-1 HT 2-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
30.01.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 0-1 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC

Ujpest 0-5 Ferencvaros — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
0-5
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.46 xG 2.07
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 2
250 Passes 369
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros ran out comfortable winners over Ujpest 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Ujpest had 44% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 56%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.46 to 2.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ujpest and 3.00 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Ferencvaros?

Ujpest 0-5 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 26%, draw 23%, Ferencvaros 51%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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