Metropolitanos 5-2 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.3pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.06/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.06
+7% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +52%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
19.1 Crosses 15.9
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY UCV
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.46 xG 1.98
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
369 Passes 195
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.02.2024 UCV UCV 3-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
07.10.2023 UCV UCV 3-2 HT 3-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
05.02.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
15.09.2022 UCV UCV 2-3 HT 2-2 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
04.03.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-0 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
16.10.2021 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
5-2
AWAY UCV
2.45 xG 1.21
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
117 Passes 238
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos cruised past UCV 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Metropolitanos made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 35% of the ball to UCV's 65%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 2.45 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.67 for UCV.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs UCV?

Metropolitanos 5-2 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 36%, draw 28%, UCV 36%. The final score 5-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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