Internacional 1-1 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 19 May 2025

Internacional
1-1 HT 0-1
Mirassol FC
📅19/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Internacional vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
4.09
6+ Goals
8%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 32% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.25
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
25%
4.13
X/2
8%
9.64
X/X
14%
4.74
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
8.2
2/X
5%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Internacional v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.84/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.03
+10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
398 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.4
23.7 Crosses 21.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Internacional 1-1 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
1-1
AWAY Mirassol FC
2.96 xG 1.88
66% Ball Possession 34%
25 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
550 Passes 252
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 9
37 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional and Mirassol FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Internacional at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Internacional had 66% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 34%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 2.96 to 1.88.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Mirassol FC?

Internacional 1-1 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Internacional 48%, draw 28%, Mirassol FC 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Internacional), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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